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WEEK 6 · KICKOFF PASSED

DAL at GB

DAL at GB
Sun, Oct 18, 8:20 PM EDT

Official schedule ↗
OUR PREDICTED WINNER

DAL

DAL 30 · GB 27 projected score

55%Estimated win chance

The DAL path remains the stronger Wednesday scenario, but the estimate stays provisional because final game statuses, inactive lists and exact kickoff conditions do not yet exist.

Winner reasoning, risks and sources

UNCALIBRATED subjective research estimate rounded to five points. Atlas projects DAL 30, GB 27 after weighing drive efficiency, role stability, venue, early weather and the displayed market.

  • Green Bay confirmed Micah Parsons will not play Sunday night and Javon Hargrave is out for the season with a torn Achilles. Dallas had no Week 6 practice report, and final inactives remain pending.
  • The current NWS game-hour outlook is clear near 56 F at kickoff and falling into the low 50s with light wind. It remains provisional.
  • The current DraftKings publisher display was GB -1.5 (-105), DAL +1.5 (-115); total 52.5 with over -115 and under -105; GB -122, DAL +102. Executability was not verified.

NFL official 2026 Week 6 schedule ↗
The official NFL schedule lists DAL at GB for 2026-10-19T00:20:00Z at Lambeau Field.
Observed 2026-10-14T14:46:48Z

Official DAL at GB Week 6 game center ↗
The official game center is the primary matchup record. Final game statuses and inactive lists were not available at the observation time and remain pending.
Observed 2026-10-14T14:46:48Z

Official Week 6 availability checkpoint ↗
Green Bay confirmed Micah Parsons will not play Sunday night and Javon Hargrave is out for the season with a torn Achilles. Dallas had no Week 6 practice report, and final inactives remain pending.
Observed 2026-10-14T14:46:48Z

Current venue and kickoff-weather checkpoint ↗
The current NWS game-hour outlook is clear near 56 F at kickoff and falling into the low 50s with light wind. It remains provisional.
Observed 2026-10-14T14:46:48Z

DraftKings Week 6 publisher-displayed board ↗
The current operator-hosted publisher display showed GB -1.5 (-105), DAL +1.5 (-115); total 52.5 with over -115 and under -105; GB -122, DAL +102. DraftKings warns values can differ by location. No logged-in offer was tested, so this is not labeled executable.
Observed 2026-10-14T14:46:48Z

DraftKings Oct. 13 to Oct. 14 comparable display ↗
CBS published a DraftKings-attributed Week 6 board on October 13 at 17:05 UTC. Comparison with the October 14 DraftKings operator-hosted publisher display is used only where the same game and market are available. It is displayed movement, not a claim of executable price history.
Observed 2026-10-14T14:46:48Z

Week 6 matchup role and efficiency table ↗
The role table was used as a Tuesday countercheck for snap share, opportunity and drive-efficiency context. It labels starters and market data as provisional, so final availability is not inferred.
Observed 2026-10-14T14:46:48Z

RANKED BY OUR RESEARCH

Our 5 picks

These are our projected outcomes and yardage targets, not copied sportsbook lines. Percentages estimate each event’s chance, not our past accuracy. They are subjective and uncalibrated. A likely outcome is not automatically a good bet at any price. These are individual ideas, not a suggested parlay.

PICK 01 · CORE PLAY60%Estimated chance

CeeDee Lamb

75+ receiving yards

Our projection 96 yards

The forecast gives CeeDee Lamb a supported path to 75+ receiving yards without treating one prior result or a displayed market as destiny.

Why this pick? Research & risks

Why this number?

UNCALIBRATED research judgment anchored to the player's current role, matchup usage path and the independently chosen 75+ receiving-yard threshold. Current role evidence is paired with provisional availability.

Subjective 60% event estimate rounded to five points. It weighs role, opponent structure, projected game script and uncertainty. It is not an empirical hit rate, proven calibration or betting-edge claim.

What could go wrong
  • Green Bay confirmed Micah Parsons will not play Sunday night and Javon Hargrave is out for the season with a torn Achilles. Dallas had no Week 6 practice report, and final inactives remain pending.
  • Volume can move with turnovers, score state and opponent adjustments.
  • The current NWS game-hour outlook is clear near 56 F at kickoff and falling into the low 50s with light wind. It remains provisional.
Injuries: provisionalInactives: pendingWeather: daily only
Inspect 4 source receipts
Official DAL at GB Week 6 game center ↗

The official game center is the primary matchup record. Final game statuses and inactive lists were not available at the observation time and remain pending.

Observed 2026-10-14T14:46:48Z
Official Week 6 availability checkpoint ↗

Green Bay confirmed Micah Parsons will not play Sunday night and Javon Hargrave is out for the season with a torn Achilles. Dallas had no Week 6 practice report, and final inactives remain pending.

Observed 2026-10-14T14:46:48Z
Current venue and kickoff-weather checkpoint ↗

The current NWS game-hour outlook is clear near 56 F at kickoff and falling into the low 50s with light wind. It remains provisional.

Observed 2026-10-14T14:46:48Z
Week 6 matchup role and efficiency table ↗

The role table was used as a Tuesday countercheck for snap share, opportunity and drive-efficiency context. It labels starters and market data as provisional, so final availability is not inferred.

Observed 2026-10-14T14:46:48Z
FROZEN AT KICKOFFLOSS
PICK 02 · CORE PLAY55%Estimated chance

George Pickens

50+ receiving yards

Our projection 68 yards

The forecast gives George Pickens a supported path to 50+ receiving yards without treating one prior result or a displayed market as destiny.

Why this pick? Research & risks

Why this number?

UNCALIBRATED research judgment anchored to the player's current role, matchup usage path and the independently chosen 50+ receiving-yard threshold. Current role evidence is paired with provisional availability.

Subjective 55% event estimate rounded to five points. It weighs role, opponent structure, projected game script and uncertainty. It is not an empirical hit rate, proven calibration or betting-edge claim.

What could go wrong
  • Green Bay confirmed Micah Parsons will not play Sunday night and Javon Hargrave is out for the season with a torn Achilles. Dallas had no Week 6 practice report, and final inactives remain pending.
  • Volume can move with turnovers, score state and opponent adjustments.
  • The current NWS game-hour outlook is clear near 56 F at kickoff and falling into the low 50s with light wind. It remains provisional.
Injuries: provisionalInactives: pendingWeather: daily only
Inspect 4 source receipts
Official DAL at GB Week 6 game center ↗

The official game center is the primary matchup record. Final game statuses and inactive lists were not available at the observation time and remain pending.

Observed 2026-10-14T14:46:48Z
Official Week 6 availability checkpoint ↗

Green Bay confirmed Micah Parsons will not play Sunday night and Javon Hargrave is out for the season with a torn Achilles. Dallas had no Week 6 practice report, and final inactives remain pending.

Observed 2026-10-14T14:46:48Z
Current venue and kickoff-weather checkpoint ↗

The current NWS game-hour outlook is clear near 56 F at kickoff and falling into the low 50s with light wind. It remains provisional.

Observed 2026-10-14T14:46:48Z
Week 6 matchup role and efficiency table ↗

The role table was used as a Tuesday countercheck for snap share, opportunity and drive-efficiency context. It labels starters and market data as provisional, so final availability is not inferred.

Observed 2026-10-14T14:46:48Z
FROZEN AT KICKOFFWIN
PICK 03 · SLEEPER50%Estimated chance

Christian Watson

50+ receiving yards

Our projection 67 yards

The forecast gives Christian Watson a supported path to 50+ receiving yards without treating one prior result or a displayed market as destiny.

Why this pick? Research & risks

Why this number?

UNCALIBRATED research judgment anchored to the player's current role, matchup usage path and the independently chosen 50+ receiving-yard threshold. Current role evidence is paired with provisional availability.

Subjective 50% event estimate rounded to five points. It weighs role, opponent structure, projected game script and uncertainty. It is not an empirical hit rate, proven calibration or betting-edge claim.

What could go wrong
  • Green Bay confirmed Micah Parsons will not play Sunday night and Javon Hargrave is out for the season with a torn Achilles. Dallas had no Week 6 practice report, and final inactives remain pending.
  • Volume can move with turnovers, score state and opponent adjustments.
  • The current NWS game-hour outlook is clear near 56 F at kickoff and falling into the low 50s with light wind. It remains provisional.
Injuries: provisionalInactives: pendingWeather: daily only
Inspect 4 source receipts
Official DAL at GB Week 6 game center ↗

The official game center is the primary matchup record. Final game statuses and inactive lists were not available at the observation time and remain pending.

Observed 2026-10-14T14:46:48Z
Official Week 6 availability checkpoint ↗

Green Bay confirmed Micah Parsons will not play Sunday night and Javon Hargrave is out for the season with a torn Achilles. Dallas had no Week 6 practice report, and final inactives remain pending.

Observed 2026-10-14T14:46:48Z
Current venue and kickoff-weather checkpoint ↗

The current NWS game-hour outlook is clear near 56 F at kickoff and falling into the low 50s with light wind. It remains provisional.

Observed 2026-10-14T14:46:48Z
Week 6 matchup role and efficiency table ↗

The role table was used as a Tuesday countercheck for snap share, opportunity and drive-efficiency context. It labels starters and market data as provisional, so final availability is not inferred.

Observed 2026-10-14T14:46:48Z
FROZEN AT KICKOFFWIN
PICK 04 · CORE PLAY55%Estimated chance

Javonte Williams

55+ rushing yards

Our projection 72 yards

The forecast gives Javonte Williams a supported path to 55+ rushing yards without treating one prior result or a displayed market as destiny.

Why this pick? Research & risks

Why this number?

UNCALIBRATED research judgment anchored to the player's current role, matchup usage path and the independently chosen 55+ rushing-yard threshold. Current role evidence is paired with provisional availability.

Subjective 55% event estimate rounded to five points. It weighs role, opponent structure, projected game script and uncertainty. It is not an empirical hit rate, proven calibration or betting-edge claim.

What could go wrong
  • Green Bay confirmed Micah Parsons will not play Sunday night and Javon Hargrave is out for the season with a torn Achilles. Dallas had no Week 6 practice report, and final inactives remain pending.
  • Volume can move with turnovers, score state and opponent adjustments.
  • The current NWS game-hour outlook is clear near 56 F at kickoff and falling into the low 50s with light wind. It remains provisional.
Injuries: provisionalInactives: pendingWeather: daily only
Inspect 4 source receipts
Official DAL at GB Week 6 game center ↗

The official game center is the primary matchup record. Final game statuses and inactive lists were not available at the observation time and remain pending.

Observed 2026-10-14T14:46:48Z
Official Week 6 availability checkpoint ↗

Green Bay confirmed Micah Parsons will not play Sunday night and Javon Hargrave is out for the season with a torn Achilles. Dallas had no Week 6 practice report, and final inactives remain pending.

Observed 2026-10-14T14:46:48Z
Current venue and kickoff-weather checkpoint ↗

The current NWS game-hour outlook is clear near 56 F at kickoff and falling into the low 50s with light wind. It remains provisional.

Observed 2026-10-14T14:46:48Z
Week 6 matchup role and efficiency table ↗

The role table was used as a Tuesday countercheck for snap share, opportunity and drive-efficiency context. It labels starters and market data as provisional, so final availability is not inferred.

Observed 2026-10-14T14:46:48Z
FROZEN AT KICKOFFLOSS
PICK 05 · CORE PLAY55%Estimated chance

Tucker Kraft

35+ receiving yards

Our projection 49 yards

The forecast gives Tucker Kraft a supported path to 35+ receiving yards without treating one prior result or a displayed market as destiny.

Why this pick? Research & risks

Why this number?

UNCALIBRATED research judgment anchored to the player's current role, matchup usage path and the independently chosen 35+ receiving-yard threshold. Current role evidence is paired with provisional availability.

Subjective 55% event estimate rounded to five points. It weighs role, opponent structure, projected game script and uncertainty. It is not an empirical hit rate, proven calibration or betting-edge claim.

What could go wrong
  • Green Bay confirmed Micah Parsons will not play Sunday night and Javon Hargrave is out for the season with a torn Achilles. Dallas had no Week 6 practice report, and final inactives remain pending.
  • Volume can move with turnovers, score state and opponent adjustments.
  • The current NWS game-hour outlook is clear near 56 F at kickoff and falling into the low 50s with light wind. It remains provisional.
Injuries: provisionalInactives: pendingWeather: daily only
Inspect 4 source receipts
Official DAL at GB Week 6 game center ↗

The official game center is the primary matchup record. Final game statuses and inactive lists were not available at the observation time and remain pending.

Observed 2026-10-14T14:46:48Z
Official Week 6 availability checkpoint ↗

Green Bay confirmed Micah Parsons will not play Sunday night and Javon Hargrave is out for the season with a torn Achilles. Dallas had no Week 6 practice report, and final inactives remain pending.

Observed 2026-10-14T14:46:48Z
Current venue and kickoff-weather checkpoint ↗

The current NWS game-hour outlook is clear near 56 F at kickoff and falling into the low 50s with light wind. It remains provisional.

Observed 2026-10-14T14:46:48Z
Week 6 matchup role and efficiency table ↗

The role table was used as a Tuesday countercheck for snap share, opportunity and drive-efficiency context. It labels starters and market data as provisional, so final availability is not inferred.

Observed 2026-10-14T14:46:48Z
FROZEN AT KICKOFFWIN
Forecast publication snapshot

Method: atlas-research-v2 · subjective research estimates
Published: 2026-10-14T15:21:29.000Z
Cutoff: 2026-10-19T00:20:00.000Z
Revision: 2026-w06-dal-gb-research-v2-20261014-r1

SHA-256 7ce7082fdff7aa8079e9f4754a8e3635702e9bb706c3c96b53d52c99f784d8b4

Earlier revisions remain visible in the public record. Percentages, projected score and player targets freeze together.

Inspect the permanent record ↗