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WEEK 6 · KICKOFF PASSED

WAS at SF

WAS at SF
Mon, Oct 19, 8:15 PM EDT

Official schedule ↗
OUR PREDICTED WINNER

SF

WAS 21 · SF 31 projected score

70%Estimated win chance

The SF path remains the stronger Wednesday scenario, but the estimate stays provisional because final game statuses, inactive lists and exact kickoff conditions do not yet exist.

Winner reasoning, risks and sources

UNCALIBRATED subjective research estimate rounded to five points. Atlas projects WAS 21, SF 31 after weighing drive efficiency, role stability, venue, early weather and the displayed market.

  • San Francisco linebacker Dre Greenlaw's one-game suspension was upheld for Week 6. Deebo Samuel and Garret Wallow were reported to miss time. Washington had no Week 6 practice report.
  • The current Monday outlook is cloudy near 67 F at kickoff and falling into the low 60s at outdoor Levi's Stadium. The longer-range forecast remains provisional.
  • The current DraftKings publisher display was SF -7.5 (-108), WAS +7.5 (-112); total 50.5 with over -120 and under +100; SF -425, WAS +330. Executability was not verified.

NFL official 2026 Week 6 schedule ↗
The official NFL schedule lists WAS at SF for 2026-10-20T00:15:00Z at Levi's Stadium.
Observed 2026-10-14T14:46:48Z

Official WAS at SF Week 6 game center ↗
The official game center is the primary matchup record. Final game statuses and inactive lists were not available at the observation time and remain pending.
Observed 2026-10-14T14:46:48Z

Official Week 6 availability checkpoint ↗
San Francisco linebacker Dre Greenlaw's one-game suspension was upheld for Week 6. Deebo Samuel and Garret Wallow were reported to miss time. Washington had no Week 6 practice report.
Observed 2026-10-14T14:46:48Z

Current venue and kickoff-weather checkpoint ↗
The current Monday outlook is cloudy near 67 F at kickoff and falling into the low 60s at outdoor Levi's Stadium. The longer-range forecast remains provisional.
Observed 2026-10-14T14:46:48Z

DraftKings Week 6 publisher-displayed board ↗
The current operator-hosted publisher display showed SF -7.5 (-108), WAS +7.5 (-112); total 50.5 with over -120 and under +100; SF -425, WAS +330. DraftKings warns values can differ by location. No logged-in offer was tested, so this is not labeled executable.
Observed 2026-10-14T14:46:48Z

DraftKings Oct. 13 to Oct. 14 comparable display ↗
CBS published a DraftKings-attributed Week 6 board on October 13 at 17:05 UTC. Comparison with the October 14 DraftKings operator-hosted publisher display is used only where the same game and market are available. It is displayed movement, not a claim of executable price history.
Observed 2026-10-14T14:46:48Z

Week 6 matchup role and efficiency table ↗
The role table was used as a Tuesday countercheck for snap share, opportunity and drive-efficiency context. It labels starters and market data as provisional, so final availability is not inferred.
Observed 2026-10-14T14:46:48Z

RANKED BY OUR RESEARCH

Our 5 picks

These are our projected outcomes and yardage targets, not copied sportsbook lines. Percentages estimate each event’s chance, not our past accuracy. They are subjective and uncalibrated. A likely outcome is not automatically a good bet at any price. These are individual ideas, not a suggested parlay.

PICK 01 · CORE PLAY65%Estimated chance

Christian McCaffrey

70+ rushing yards

Our projection 93 yards

The forecast gives Christian McCaffrey a supported path to 70+ rushing yards without treating one prior result or a displayed market as destiny.

Why this pick? Research & risks

Why this number?

UNCALIBRATED research judgment anchored to the player's current role, matchup usage path and the independently chosen 70+ rushing-yard threshold. Current role evidence is paired with provisional availability.

Subjective 65% event estimate rounded to five points. It weighs role, opponent structure, projected game script and uncertainty. It is not an empirical hit rate, proven calibration or betting-edge claim.

What could go wrong
  • San Francisco linebacker Dre Greenlaw's one-game suspension was upheld for Week 6. Deebo Samuel and Garret Wallow were reported to miss time. Washington had no Week 6 practice report.
  • Volume can move with turnovers, score state and opponent adjustments.
  • The current Monday outlook is cloudy near 67 F at kickoff and falling into the low 60s at outdoor Levi's Stadium. The longer-range forecast remains provisional.
Injuries: provisionalInactives: pendingWeather: daily only
Inspect 4 source receipts
Official WAS at SF Week 6 game center ↗

The official game center is the primary matchup record. Final game statuses and inactive lists were not available at the observation time and remain pending.

Observed 2026-10-14T14:46:48Z
Official Week 6 availability checkpoint ↗

San Francisco linebacker Dre Greenlaw's one-game suspension was upheld for Week 6. Deebo Samuel and Garret Wallow were reported to miss time. Washington had no Week 6 practice report.

Observed 2026-10-14T14:46:48Z
Current venue and kickoff-weather checkpoint ↗

The current Monday outlook is cloudy near 67 F at kickoff and falling into the low 60s at outdoor Levi's Stadium. The longer-range forecast remains provisional.

Observed 2026-10-14T14:46:48Z
Week 6 matchup role and efficiency table ↗

The role table was used as a Tuesday countercheck for snap share, opportunity and drive-efficiency context. It labels starters and market data as provisional, so final availability is not inferred.

Observed 2026-10-14T14:46:48Z
FROZEN AT KICKOFFLOSS
PICK 02 · CORE PLAY60%Estimated chance

George Kittle

40+ receiving yards

Our projection 57 yards

The forecast gives George Kittle a supported path to 40+ receiving yards without treating one prior result or a displayed market as destiny.

Why this pick? Research & risks

Why this number?

UNCALIBRATED research judgment anchored to the player's current role, matchup usage path and the independently chosen 40+ receiving-yard threshold. Current role evidence is paired with provisional availability.

Subjective 60% event estimate rounded to five points. It weighs role, opponent structure, projected game script and uncertainty. It is not an empirical hit rate, proven calibration or betting-edge claim.

What could go wrong
  • San Francisco linebacker Dre Greenlaw's one-game suspension was upheld for Week 6. Deebo Samuel and Garret Wallow were reported to miss time. Washington had no Week 6 practice report.
  • Volume can move with turnovers, score state and opponent adjustments.
  • The current Monday outlook is cloudy near 67 F at kickoff and falling into the low 60s at outdoor Levi's Stadium. The longer-range forecast remains provisional.
Injuries: provisionalInactives: pendingWeather: daily only
Inspect 4 source receipts
Official WAS at SF Week 6 game center ↗

The official game center is the primary matchup record. Final game statuses and inactive lists were not available at the observation time and remain pending.

Observed 2026-10-14T14:46:48Z
Official Week 6 availability checkpoint ↗

San Francisco linebacker Dre Greenlaw's one-game suspension was upheld for Week 6. Deebo Samuel and Garret Wallow were reported to miss time. Washington had no Week 6 practice report.

Observed 2026-10-14T14:46:48Z
Current venue and kickoff-weather checkpoint ↗

The current Monday outlook is cloudy near 67 F at kickoff and falling into the low 60s at outdoor Levi's Stadium. The longer-range forecast remains provisional.

Observed 2026-10-14T14:46:48Z
Week 6 matchup role and efficiency table ↗

The role table was used as a Tuesday countercheck for snap share, opportunity and drive-efficiency context. It labels starters and market data as provisional, so final availability is not inferred.

Observed 2026-10-14T14:46:48Z
FROZEN AT KICKOFFWIN
PICK 03 · CORE PLAY55%Estimated chance

Terry McLaurin

50+ receiving yards

Our projection 68 yards

The forecast gives Terry McLaurin a supported path to 50+ receiving yards without treating one prior result or a displayed market as destiny.

Why this pick? Research & risks

Why this number?

UNCALIBRATED research judgment anchored to the player's current role, matchup usage path and the independently chosen 50+ receiving-yard threshold. Current role evidence is paired with provisional availability.

Subjective 55% event estimate rounded to five points. It weighs role, opponent structure, projected game script and uncertainty. It is not an empirical hit rate, proven calibration or betting-edge claim.

What could go wrong
  • San Francisco linebacker Dre Greenlaw's one-game suspension was upheld for Week 6. Deebo Samuel and Garret Wallow were reported to miss time. Washington had no Week 6 practice report.
  • Volume can move with turnovers, score state and opponent adjustments.
  • The current Monday outlook is cloudy near 67 F at kickoff and falling into the low 60s at outdoor Levi's Stadium. The longer-range forecast remains provisional.
Injuries: provisionalInactives: pendingWeather: daily only
Inspect 4 source receipts
Official WAS at SF Week 6 game center ↗

The official game center is the primary matchup record. Final game statuses and inactive lists were not available at the observation time and remain pending.

Observed 2026-10-14T14:46:48Z
Official Week 6 availability checkpoint ↗

San Francisco linebacker Dre Greenlaw's one-game suspension was upheld for Week 6. Deebo Samuel and Garret Wallow were reported to miss time. Washington had no Week 6 practice report.

Observed 2026-10-14T14:46:48Z
Current venue and kickoff-weather checkpoint ↗

The current Monday outlook is cloudy near 67 F at kickoff and falling into the low 60s at outdoor Levi's Stadium. The longer-range forecast remains provisional.

Observed 2026-10-14T14:46:48Z
Week 6 matchup role and efficiency table ↗

The role table was used as a Tuesday countercheck for snap share, opportunity and drive-efficiency context. It labels starters and market data as provisional, so final availability is not inferred.

Observed 2026-10-14T14:46:48Z
FROZEN AT KICKOFFLOSS
PICK 04 · SLEEPER50%Estimated chance

Antonio Williams

25+ receiving yards

Our projection 36 yards

The forecast gives Antonio Williams a supported path to 25+ receiving yards without treating one prior result or a displayed market as destiny.

Why this pick? Research & risks

Why this number?

UNCALIBRATED research judgment anchored to the player's current role, matchup usage path and the independently chosen 25+ receiving-yard threshold. Current role evidence is paired with provisional availability.

Subjective 50% event estimate rounded to five points. It weighs role, opponent structure, projected game script and uncertainty. It is not an empirical hit rate, proven calibration or betting-edge claim.

What could go wrong
  • San Francisco linebacker Dre Greenlaw's one-game suspension was upheld for Week 6. Deebo Samuel and Garret Wallow were reported to miss time. Washington had no Week 6 practice report.
  • Volume can move with turnovers, score state and opponent adjustments.
  • The current Monday outlook is cloudy near 67 F at kickoff and falling into the low 60s at outdoor Levi's Stadium. The longer-range forecast remains provisional.
Injuries: provisionalInactives: pendingWeather: daily only
Inspect 4 source receipts
Official WAS at SF Week 6 game center ↗

The official game center is the primary matchup record. Final game statuses and inactive lists were not available at the observation time and remain pending.

Observed 2026-10-14T14:46:48Z
Official Week 6 availability checkpoint ↗

San Francisco linebacker Dre Greenlaw's one-game suspension was upheld for Week 6. Deebo Samuel and Garret Wallow were reported to miss time. Washington had no Week 6 practice report.

Observed 2026-10-14T14:46:48Z
Current venue and kickoff-weather checkpoint ↗

The current Monday outlook is cloudy near 67 F at kickoff and falling into the low 60s at outdoor Levi's Stadium. The longer-range forecast remains provisional.

Observed 2026-10-14T14:46:48Z
Week 6 matchup role and efficiency table ↗

The role table was used as a Tuesday countercheck for snap share, opportunity and drive-efficiency context. It labels starters and market data as provisional, so final availability is not inferred.

Observed 2026-10-14T14:46:48Z
FROZEN AT KICKOFFWIN
PICK 05 · CORE PLAY55%Estimated chance

Jayden Daniels

30+ rushing yards

Our projection 44 yards

The forecast gives Jayden Daniels a supported path to 30+ rushing yards without treating one prior result or a displayed market as destiny.

Why this pick? Research & risks

Why this number?

UNCALIBRATED research judgment anchored to the player's current role, matchup usage path and the independently chosen 30+ rushing-yard threshold. Current role evidence is paired with provisional availability.

Subjective 55% event estimate rounded to five points. It weighs role, opponent structure, projected game script and uncertainty. It is not an empirical hit rate, proven calibration or betting-edge claim.

What could go wrong
  • San Francisco linebacker Dre Greenlaw's one-game suspension was upheld for Week 6. Deebo Samuel and Garret Wallow were reported to miss time. Washington had no Week 6 practice report.
  • Volume can move with turnovers, score state and opponent adjustments.
  • The current Monday outlook is cloudy near 67 F at kickoff and falling into the low 60s at outdoor Levi's Stadium. The longer-range forecast remains provisional.
Injuries: provisionalInactives: pendingWeather: daily only
Inspect 4 source receipts
Official WAS at SF Week 6 game center ↗

The official game center is the primary matchup record. Final game statuses and inactive lists were not available at the observation time and remain pending.

Observed 2026-10-14T14:46:48Z
Official Week 6 availability checkpoint ↗

San Francisco linebacker Dre Greenlaw's one-game suspension was upheld for Week 6. Deebo Samuel and Garret Wallow were reported to miss time. Washington had no Week 6 practice report.

Observed 2026-10-14T14:46:48Z
Current venue and kickoff-weather checkpoint ↗

The current Monday outlook is cloudy near 67 F at kickoff and falling into the low 60s at outdoor Levi's Stadium. The longer-range forecast remains provisional.

Observed 2026-10-14T14:46:48Z
Week 6 matchup role and efficiency table ↗

The role table was used as a Tuesday countercheck for snap share, opportunity and drive-efficiency context. It labels starters and market data as provisional, so final availability is not inferred.

Observed 2026-10-14T14:46:48Z
FROZEN AT KICKOFFLOSS
Forecast publication snapshot

Method: atlas-research-v2 · subjective research estimates
Published: 2026-10-14T15:21:29.000Z
Cutoff: 2026-10-20T00:15:00.000Z
Revision: 2026-w06-was-sf-research-v2-20261014-r1

SHA-256 6bfdc5d953055d8fb574a6c8d918a4a9c589bb05fc7739236bba8bfaec5fb42b

Earlier revisions remain visible in the public record. Percentages, projected score and player targets freeze together.

Inspect the permanent record ↗