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WEEK 7 · KICKOFF PASSED

MIA at NYJ

MIA at NYJ
Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM EDT

Official schedule ↗
OUR PREDICTED WINNER

NYJ

MIA 17 · NYJ 23 projected score

65%Estimated win chance

Atlas projects NYJ to win. The projected score is MIA 17, NYJ 23. The estimate is explicitly uncalibrated and remains provisional because final inactive lists are unavailable.

Winner reasoning, risks and sources

Atlas weighs the official team leaders and efficiency profile, current practice participation, venue and weather state, and same-operator displayed market context. FanDuel Research displayed New York -4.5 and total 39.5, unchanged from the opening spread and total.

  • The Jets have the clearer defensive and turnover case, but limited drive-finishing keeps the projected margin restrained.
  • Practice participation is not a final availability decision.
  • Publisher-displayed market movement is context, not proof of value or an executable offer.

Official MIA at NYJ Week 7 game center ↗
The official game center verifies the matchup, venue, current team leaders, season statistics, and published practice participation. Miami lists Ollie Gordon at 236 rushing yards and Malik Washington at 262 receiving yards. New York lists Braelon Allen at 314 rushing yards and Garrett Wilson at 418 receiving yards.
Observed 2026-10-22T14:50:00Z

Official NFL Week 7 injury report ↗
Malik Willis was full and Jaylen Wright was limited. Breece Hall did not participate. Final statuses remain pending.
Observed 2026-10-22T14:50:00Z

Week 7 venue and weather check for MIA at NYJ ↗
NWS calls for sunny conditions near 64 F at kickoff; detailed wind remains pending.
Observed 2026-10-22T14:50:00Z

FanDuel Research MIA at NYJ publisher display ↗
FanDuel Research displayed New York -4.5 and total 39.5, unchanged from the opening spread and total. This is a publisher display, not a verified executable offer.
Observed 2026-10-22T14:50:00Z

RANKED BY OUR RESEARCH

Our 5 picks

These are our projected outcomes and yardage targets, not copied sportsbook lines. Percentages estimate each event’s chance, not our past accuracy. They are subjective and uncalibrated. A likely outcome is not automatically a good bet at any price. These are individual ideas, not a suggested parlay.

PICK 01 · CORE PLAY60%Estimated chance

Garrett Wilson

55+ receiving yards

Our projection 66 yards

The independent house event asks for at least 55 receiving yards, below the 66-yard central scenario. It is not a quoted sportsbook line.

Why this pick? Research & risks

Why this number?

Wilson leads New York with 418 receiving yards on 35 catches and three touchdowns.

Uncalibrated Atlas research judgment, rounded to five points. It weighs current season role, official team statistics, availability uncertainty, opponent structure, market context, and projected score state. It is not an empirical hit rate or a claim of betting edge.

What could go wrong
  • Miami can concentrate coverage on the primary target.
  • New York can play from a run-heavy lead.
Injuries: provisionalInactives: pendingWeather: daily only
Inspect 2 source receipts
Official MIA at NYJ Week 7 game center ↗

The official game center verifies the matchup, venue, current team leaders, season statistics, and published practice participation. Miami lists Ollie Gordon at 236 rushing yards and Malik Washington at 262 receiving yards. New York lists Braelon Allen at 314 rushing yards and Garrett Wilson at 418 receiving yards.

Observed 2026-10-22T14:50:00Z
Official NFL Week 7 injury report ↗

Malik Willis was full and Jaylen Wright was limited. Breece Hall did not participate. Final statuses remain pending.

Observed 2026-10-22T14:50:00Z
FROZEN AT KICKOFFLOSS
PICK 02 · CORE PLAY55%Estimated chance

Braelon Allen

45+ rushing yards

Our projection 55 yards

The independent house event asks for at least 45 rushing yards, below the 55-yard central scenario. It is not a quoted sportsbook line.

Why this pick? Research & risks

Why this number?

Allen leads New York with 314 rushing yards on 74 attempts.

Uncalibrated Atlas research judgment, rounded to five points. It weighs current season role, official team statistics, availability uncertainty, opponent structure, market context, and projected score state. It is not an empirical hit rate or a claim of betting edge.

What could go wrong
  • Backfield distribution can change if Breece Hall returns.
  • Miami can force passing downs.
Injuries: provisionalInactives: pendingWeather: daily only
Inspect 2 source receipts
Official MIA at NYJ Week 7 game center ↗

The official game center verifies the matchup, venue, current team leaders, season statistics, and published practice participation. Miami lists Ollie Gordon at 236 rushing yards and Malik Washington at 262 receiving yards. New York lists Braelon Allen at 314 rushing yards and Garrett Wilson at 418 receiving yards.

Observed 2026-10-22T14:50:00Z
Official NFL Week 7 injury report ↗

Malik Willis was full and Jaylen Wright was limited. Breece Hall did not participate. Final statuses remain pending.

Observed 2026-10-22T14:50:00Z
FROZEN AT KICKOFFWIN
PICK 03 · CORE PLAY50%Estimated chance

Ollie Gordon

35+ rushing yards

Our projection 44 yards

The independent house event asks for at least 35 rushing yards, below the 44-yard central scenario. It is not a quoted sportsbook line.

Why this pick? Research & risks

Why this number?

Gordon leads Miami with 236 rushing yards on 47 attempts and three touchdowns.

Uncalibrated Atlas research judgment, rounded to five points. It weighs current season role, official team statistics, availability uncertainty, opponent structure, market context, and projected score state. It is not an empirical hit rate or a claim of betting edge.

What could go wrong
  • New York owns seventeen sacks and can create negative plays.
  • Miami can abandon the run from behind.
Injuries: provisionalInactives: pendingWeather: daily only
Inspect 2 source receipts
Official MIA at NYJ Week 7 game center ↗

The official game center verifies the matchup, venue, current team leaders, season statistics, and published practice participation. Miami lists Ollie Gordon at 236 rushing yards and Malik Washington at 262 receiving yards. New York lists Braelon Allen at 314 rushing yards and Garrett Wilson at 418 receiving yards.

Observed 2026-10-22T14:50:00Z
Official NFL Week 7 injury report ↗

Malik Willis was full and Jaylen Wright was limited. Breece Hall did not participate. Final statuses remain pending.

Observed 2026-10-22T14:50:00Z
FROZEN AT KICKOFFWIN
PICK 04 · SLEEPER50%Estimated chance

Malik Washington

30+ receiving yards

Our projection 38 yards

The independent house event asks for at least 30 receiving yards, below the 38-yard central scenario. It is not a quoted sportsbook line.

Why this pick? Research & risks

Why this number?

Washington leads Miami with 262 receiving yards on 23 catches.

Uncalibrated Atlas research judgment, rounded to five points. It weighs current season role, official team statistics, availability uncertainty, opponent structure, market context, and projected score state. It is not an empirical hit rate or a claim of betting edge.

What could go wrong
  • Quarterback efficiency has been inconsistent.
  • Target share can scatter in comeback mode.
Injuries: provisionalInactives: pendingWeather: daily only
Inspect 2 source receipts
Official MIA at NYJ Week 7 game center ↗

The official game center verifies the matchup, venue, current team leaders, season statistics, and published practice participation. Miami lists Ollie Gordon at 236 rushing yards and Malik Washington at 262 receiving yards. New York lists Braelon Allen at 314 rushing yards and Garrett Wilson at 418 receiving yards.

Observed 2026-10-22T14:50:00Z
Official NFL Week 7 injury report ↗

Malik Willis was full and Jaylen Wright was limited. Breece Hall did not participate. Final statuses remain pending.

Observed 2026-10-22T14:50:00Z
FROZEN AT KICKOFFLOSS
PICK 05 · CORE PLAY40%Estimated chance

Garrett Wilson

Anytime touchdown

The event asks whether Garrett Wilson scores a rushing or receiving touchdown. It does not count a passing touchdown.

Why this pick? Research & risks

Why this number?

Wilson has three receiving touchdowns and New York's strongest documented receiving volume.

Uncalibrated Atlas research judgment, rounded to five points. It weighs current season role, official team statistics, availability uncertainty, opponent structure, market context, and projected score state. It is not an empirical hit rate or a claim of betting edge.

What could go wrong
  • The Jets can finish drives on the ground.
  • Miami can force short-field rushing scores.
Injuries: provisionalInactives: pendingWeather: daily only
Inspect 2 source receipts
Official MIA at NYJ Week 7 game center ↗

The official game center verifies the matchup, venue, current team leaders, season statistics, and published practice participation. Miami lists Ollie Gordon at 236 rushing yards and Malik Washington at 262 receiving yards. New York lists Braelon Allen at 314 rushing yards and Garrett Wilson at 418 receiving yards.

Observed 2026-10-22T14:50:00Z
Official NFL Week 7 injury report ↗

Malik Willis was full and Jaylen Wright was limited. Breece Hall did not participate. Final statuses remain pending.

Observed 2026-10-22T14:50:00Z
FROZEN AT KICKOFFLOSS
Forecast publication snapshot

Method: atlas-research-v2 · subjective research estimates
Published: 2026-10-22T15:02:43.000Z
Cutoff: 2026-10-25T17:00:00.000Z
Revision: 2026-w07-mia-nyj-research-v2-20261022-r1

SHA-256 d937e97c7f5717b0c1907ef1a61fa88dfa012422c9305ca12be78591ad64f166

Earlier revisions remain visible in the public record. Percentages, projected score and player targets freeze together.

Inspect the permanent record ↗