West Coast Work Order

My 27-20 forecast favors Herbert's established passing core at home against an Arizona defense that conceded substantially more yardage and offensive touchdowns in 2025. McDaniel adds upside, but I do not assume the new system is already elite. Brissett remains capable of sustaining Arizona's passing volume.

• Biadasz is on IR and a new center starts; protection and timing may suffer.
• Tuipulotu is limited and Arizona can attack a changing Chargers defense.
• Both teams have new coordinators or offensive systems; last year's team statistics are only a starting point.
• Final injury designations and game-day actives are not yet available.

Forecast recorded 2026-09-10. Open current game report

I assume roughly 8-10 targets and an Arizona script requiring sustained passing. Sixty yards is a meaningful threshold below my 75-yard central scenario, with McBride still the starting tight end.

• Harrison and Wilson can absorb targets.
• Los Angeles can devote coverage to McBride; a strong Arizona run game would reduce attempts.

Forecast recorded 2026-09-10. Open current game report

My central scenario is about 17 carries at 4.4 yards each, aided by a projected Chargers lead. That is a workload assumption, not a reported carry guarantee. Mitchell's limited practice supports caution about the backup rotation.

• Vidal and Mitchell can take more carries than assumed.
• A new center and new scheme can suppress efficiency.
• A negative game script would reduce late rushing volume.

Forecast recorded 2026-09-10. Open current game report

I assume roughly 7-9 targets in the new offense and retain room for a rebound without treating the 2024 season as an automatic repeat. Fifty yards can be reached through sustained intermediate work.

• Johnston, the tight ends and Hampton compete for targets.
• A comfortable lead can lower Herbert's pass attempts.
• The new system's target hierarchy has not been established in regular-season games.

Forecast recorded 2026-09-10. Open current game report

The Brissett connection and a projected trailing script give Wilson a path to roughly 6-8 targets. I heavily discount the late-2025 surge because Harrison is again listed as a starter.

• His 2025 breakout partly depended on an injured teammate.
• McBride and Harrison may dominate the first reads.
• Chargers pressure could leave Arizona unable to sustain drives.

Forecast recorded 2026-09-10. Open current game report

This is a lower-profile touchdown sleeper, not a likely outcome. I assume Allgeier retains meaningful early-down and some scoring-area work while the rookie eases back; a two-touchdown Arizona offense gives him a plausible route to one score.

• There is no verified 2026 goal-line allocation.
• Love could be cleared for a larger role by Sunday.
• The Chargers may limit Arizona's red-zone trips.
• A depth-chart position alone does not guarantee touches.

Forecast recorded 2026-09-10. Open current game report